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Pessimism and Optimism
Facing Bali’s Tourism in 2004

The year soon will switch, leaving behind 2003 and entering the New Year of 2004. Penetrating this year’s exchange, Bali’s tourism world is still facing many obstacles again, just like it was before. Uncertain feelings between pessimism and optimism, meddle in the entrepreneur’s expression specially, and the public in general, when they look at Bali’s tourism business for the future.
They who pessimistically observed the many obstacles and problems that are still visible for Bali’s tourism next year. The plummets of Bali’s tourism in 2003, considering the horrifying scale of events, will still continue into next year. Even though the bomb issues, Gulf War, and SARS virus has passed, Bali’s tourism business hasn’t increased because of the world’s economic position .
The hotel occupancy in Bali on average is under 50%. Many hotels merely fill their rooms at about 30%, with a competitive package price, alias under standard. They are forced to do it , if not, they will no longer be able to survive.
At the year-end, dysentery cases that affected Taiwanese tourists on their return from vacation in Bali also had a bad effect on Bali’s image. Because of this, the Taiwanese visiting Bali dropped for a while. Even though Taiwanese tourists are still coming to Bali, this sensitive news brought a negative impact to other tourism visit trends such as Japan and Korea.
Fortunately, it was handled in haste by the Bali Tourism Authority (BTA) that departed to Taiwan to explain the situation, and also invited restaurants to increase their health safety standards. Now, the Bali Tourism Authority provides a certificate for a recommended restaurants.
Another reason for them who pessimistically deal with next year, Bali’s tourism is an enormous menace of instability penetrating the Pemilu (general elections) 2004. The security apparatus in Bali and LSM, and other society classes are in the effort to make the election process run accurately without any disturbing incidents.
The policy of a free visa withdrawn and changed with a visa fee is also a wedge for Bali and Indonesia’s tourism entrepreneurs.  If the visa free policy is applied according to the plan, which is early next year, this means the vacation cost to Bali becomes more expensive and many intending tourists will cancel their willingness to come Bali. Tourism components constantly push the government to delay or cancel that visa fee policy.
The Reason to be Optimistic
The reasons for those who optimistically see the year change, is Bali’s condition and potency. Since the Kuta tragedy on the 12th October 2003, Bali’s tourism components like Bali Tourism Board (BTB), Bali Tourism Authority (BAT), Bali Village, and others have done promotions to several main markets of Bali’s tourism such as Japan, Australia, Taiwan, Germany and several European countries.
The acclamation from those market countries providing Bali’s tourism is positive indeed. The agent societies of those countries are also incessantly promoting and selling Bali holiday packages. The number of international hotel chains in Bali is also participating actively to promote Bali in outside countries.
The promotion effects will begin in 2004, at the time when Bali will receive many tourists from many nations. Terrorist issues seem to have subsided in compliance with the Indonesian government, and world’s countries persistence to keep restricting the space for terrorism. The war issue is also settling down, so the world will bring peace and a secure feeling for its citizens to travel everywhere including Bali.
The general election in 2004 (Pemilu 2004) procession, which optimistically feels that this country will keep steady because Indonesia is experienced in democracy reflected on the previous general election in 1999. So, there is nothing to worry for the safety of the coming election.
Another reason for the optimistic public on forth-coming Bali’s tourism, is the reality that Bali’s tourism owns a potency of gorgeous nature and magnificent culture, and choices of competitive hotels and restaurants, which will make Bali absorb large numbers of tourists next year. (BTN/04)


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